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Israeli estimates: The victory over Iran and Hezbollah is dissipating and a war of attrition has begun. “We are at the end of the stage of ‘deepening achievements’ and close to the stage of frustration, and there is almost no precedent for wars that were decided by gunfire. As long as the achievements in Iran are not clear and absolute, Netanyahu is well aware that things are not going well currently.” They considered that Iran, as well as Hezbollah, were heading towards a war of attrition against it, but they expected that it was possible to hold negotiations with the Lebanese government “in order to support it” and remove Hezbollah from the image of obscurity. The head of the “Democrats” party and former deputy chief of staff of the Israeli army, Yair Golan, told Radio 103FM today, Sunday, that the Israeli-American war on Iran is “close to exhaustion,” considering that “Israel must now seek a political process against Iran, complete “Military achievements.” He added, “After that, there will be no goals, and if there are no goals, the whole war will ultimately be a waste of money and ammunition. We are at the end of the stage of ‘deepening the achievements’ and are close to the stage of frustration, and therefore there must be a complementary political process,” in the form of “a regional alliance that exerts military, political, diplomatic, and economic pressure, with a long-term outlook.” Golan pointed out that “there is almost no precedent for wars that were decided by fire, and this does not happen.” Usually, it seems that this will not happen against the Iranians. As we see, they are a stubborn opponent who has been able to fight a war for eight years against Iraq without surrendering. He continued, “We must be realistic. What is required now is to isolate the radical axis for years. Unfortunately, Netanyahu is considered today by the leaders of the region to be part of the radical axis, and as an unreliable person, and they do not want to deal with him now, and the government considers him extremist.” For his part, Amos, a military analyst in the Haaretz newspaper, pointed out Harel said, “In recent days, it is possible to talk about a certain Iranian revival. It is difficult to measure the impact of the attacks on the Iranian fighting spirit, due to the uncertainty that the regime spreads about the events and its insistence that it will continue fighting. It is still too early to know how this story will end.” He added, “Although the remaining firepower of the Iranians is limited, they continue to launch missiles and drones daily, in a way that disrupts life in Israel and neighboring countries. The scale of their launches is not large, but it is calculated and coordinated enough to have an impact on The Israeli economy and the mood of the public, in addition to inflicting losses from time to time.” Harel pointed out, “Because the goal of Iran and Hezbollah is not to defeat their enemies, but to remain steadfast at the end of the war, this seems to be a goal that can be achieved, as Iran is ready to engage in a continuous war of attrition, on the condition that it obstructs its enemies’ plans to overthrow the regime, and the estimates of the Israeli Home Front Command by issuing easier instructions to the public, especially in the south of the country, starting tomorrow, Monday, indicate that the Israeli side is also preparing. “Because of the possibility that there may be a need for an emergency routine for a long period.” Harel repeated previous reports about Hezbollah’s capabilities after joining the war, and that they were greater than what Israeli intelligence had expected. “The war on Iran is not over yet, but it seems that Netanyahu, with Trump’s approval, is interested in maintaining the fire in Lebanon and threatening a major war.” Harel stressed that “as long as the achievements in Iran are not clear and absolute, Netanyahu needs compensation in Lebanon. The Israeli army, also concerned about revealing the limitations of its capabilities in the previous round of combat, supports escalation” in Lebanon. He added that it was clear from Netanyahu’s body language during the press conference, last Thursday, that he “is well aware that Things are not going well now. This is the impression emerging from conversations with senior officers as well. Meanwhile, there are no easy solutions on the horizon in Iran and Lebanon, and it is possible that Israel has involved itself in a new war of attrition on both fronts, and the impression of the assassination of Khamenei has begun to dim, while the memory of the sirens and the running to shelters is still there and the danger from Lebanon is not imaginable.
